Columbus, Georgia
Georgia's First Consolidated Government
Post Office Box 1340
Columbus, Georgia, 31902-1340
(706) 653-4013
fax (706) 653-4016
Council Members
AGENDA
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COLUMBUS, GEORGIA EMPLOYEES? PENSION PLAN
MAYOR?S CONFERENCE ROOM
SIXTH FLOOR, GOVERNMENT CENTER TOWER
February 5, 2003 AT 2:00 P.M.
1. Call to order
2. Roll Call
3. Approval of January 8, 2003 minutes
4. Investment Update (Salomon Smith Barney)
5. Presentation By Scudder (Value Manager)
6. Old Business
a. Actuarial Assumptions ? Sub-Committee Report
7. New Business
a. None
8. Adjourn - the next scheduled meeting will be on April 2, 2003.
William M. Mercer (Actuaries) will be here to make their annual presentation.
MINUTES
BOARD OF TRUSTEES
EMPLOYEES' PENSION PLAN
January 8, 2003
A meeting of the Board of Trustees for the Columbus Georgia Employees= Pension
Plan was held January 8, 2003 at 2:00 P.M. in the Finance Conference Room.
PRESIDING: Dan Gray, Vice Chairperson
PRESENT: Kay Love, Morton Harris, Jack Nowell, Alan Rothschild, Jr., and Capt.
John Starkey
ABSENT: Mayor Bob Poydasheff, Carmen Cavezza, Mary Strozier-Weaver, Saundra
Hunter, and Michael Majure
GUESTS: Henry Swift (Robinson-Humphrey), Denise Baxter, Investment Manager and
Angela Cole, Ass?t Finance Director
Dan Gray, Vice-Chairperson, called the meeting to order. Kay Love,
Secretary/Treasurer, gave the attendance.
MINUTES OF THE PREVIOUS MEETING:
The motion was made by Alan Rothschild and seconded by Jack Nowell that the
minutes from the November 6, 2002 meeting be accepted as submitted. The vote
was unanimous.
INVESTMENT UPDATE:
Mr. Swift opened the investment update by stating that his report would cover
most of the past year and what has happened since the first part of December.
He then began with the chart on the 30 year bond indicating that going back to
March 20th the treasury bond in terms if its? yield has dropped from 5.80 to
4.64 the middle of September. This drop helps to explain why the fixed income
managers had such a great year in 2002. In December the treasury bonds did not
change much; beginning at 5.04 at the start of December and now standing at
4.96 which reflects a little bit of an increase in the fixed income managers
for this 30 day period.
The next chart is the S&P 500 and gives a graphic picture of what happened in
the stock market in the year 2002. Beginning in March 2002 the S&P topped out
at about 1164 and then dropped down to 803 in October, reflecting a 31% top to
bottom decrease over that period of time. There was a rebound in the market
beginning the middle of October and lasted through to about the last two or
three weeks in December when the market slid off again. From the first of
December, the S&P 500 went from 934 down to 922 as of January 7, 2003, which is
not much change within that time period but does reflect a fall from the
increase beginning in the middle of October.
The chart for the NASDAQ is even worse. This shows that from early March 2002
the NASDAQ which had topped at 1929 dropped down to 1114 in October 2002. This
represented just for the year a top to bottom decrease of 42%. A part of that
is that it helps to explain why some of the growth managers did worse during
the year than some of the value managers. For the period since December, not
really much change, the NASDAQ dropped from 1484 down to 1431.
The next report is the valuation summary, which covers the period 12/02/02 to
01/07/03.
The bond portfolio is up about 30 basis points going from $74.8 million to
$75.1 million. The growth managers were down 1.8% combined. The value
managers were down less than 50 basis points during the same period of time.
Core managers down about the same as the growth managers, 1.7%. Lazard, the
international manager was up 9 basis points, therefore, they faired the best of
any of the equity managers during this 30 day period. The total equities were
down about 1.1% and the total city account was down just slightly at minus 40
basis points to $148.9 million dollars.
At the February meeting there will be a complete report along with the
performance valuation which will cover the fourth calendar quarter and the
second quarter of the fiscal year.
A copy of the evaluation report is maintained by the Board Secretary in the
Finance Director=s Office and is available for review upon request.
There was a very brief discussion where Mr. Swift explained to Mr. Gray that
the fund, at one time, had been as high as $175 million and that the fund has
taken a real hit from the stock market. He stated that the board should also
remember that the withdrawals over the last three to four years totals right at
$6 to $8 million, which has added to the reduction in the fund total balance.
At this time Capt. Starkey stated that several people had indicated to him that
when they had attended the benefits presentation by William Mercer, that the
statement had been made that the pension fund had lost $41 million dollars and
that they were very concerned about it.
This was followed by Mr. Swift?s response to the question of what Salomon Smith
Barney thinks will happen if there is another double dip in the market. The
company thinks that this next year will not be a great year, but it clearly
will not be as bad as 2001 or 2002. If the market is down this year it will be
the first time since the depression that it?s been down four years in a row.
The chances are good that the market will have a decent year where it will be
up 8% to 10%. The problem is, that if the bond interest rates start back up,
it could wipe all that out in the losses received in the bond portfolio if the
managers are too long. Remember in the last quarter Synovus and Madison were
down versus the index because they had both started shortening their maturities
in anticipation that rates were going up. So far the rates really haven?t gone
up, but rather, they have sort of stabilized. The hope of Salomon Smith Barney
is that the market does well for a year, maybe a 7% return on equities.
PRESENTATION:
Mr. Vincent P. McNichol, V.P. for Rittenhouse (Growth) with the following
outline, presented today?s report:
? Statement Of Purpose
? the primary goal is to increase and protect the portfolio value over time by
focusing on a time-tested philosophy of concentrating on high-quality,
large-capitalization growth stocks.
? Investment Gains
? Performance Report
? Equity Analysis
? Equities By Sector
? Portfolio Characteristics
? Summary Of Companies
? Sector Performance
? Top Performers
? explaining the ?Unexplainable?
How can we explain the recent poor performance of large-cap growth
stocks?
- Economic recession began in March 2001
- Lack of earnings growth
- Valuation peaked in 2000
- Negative market sentiment
--Terrorism
--Corporate Governance
? Portfolio Review
? Asset Allocation
? Portfolio Holdings
Mr. McNichol closed stating that they expect to see the economy growing
moderately in the early part of the year. Picking up gradually and a little
stronger in the last couple of quarters of the year. Although there have been
some signs of a slow movement upward with inflation, if the interest rates
level that inflation should not become a real problem.
OLD BUSINESS:
Actuarial Assumptions - Ms. Love stated that the sub-committee has met a couple
of times; most recently was the first of the week to discuss what the actuarial
assumptions for the upcoming valuation. Eric Freden has provided some
preliminary numbers and after the sub-committee met and discussed the
information that Mercer submitted the basic conclusion is that the assumption
needs to be changed.
Basically what their analysis showed is:
The assumption percentages for how the pay plan, or the raises, given
the employees is too high;
The turnover is higher, experience wise, than is the actuarial
assumption, so they felt that needed to be updated as well as using the latest
life expectancy tables that were put out which is 1994;
The life expectancy table would wind up costing more money because
people are living longer and therefore increasing the amount of the
contribution that is needed to fund the plan whereby decreasing the percentage
for how the pay plan is maintained as well as increasing the turnover
assumption percentage will cause less of a contribution. They pretty much
offset each other within about $100,000 based on the report Mercer is working
on now, moving from 8% to 7.5%, but these are preliminary numbers.
There are two questions regarding the reduction of the interest rate
assumption: One, how much is it going to cost the city to decrease that
interest rate and what is a normal range, what is considered to be normal or
appropriate. Also how many of their clients actually have moved that interest
rate down, at this point only one client has actually made the jump to move the
interest rate down, there are sixteen of which we are one who are analyzing it
at this point.
Following several minutes of discussion around the board, the motion was made
by Mr. Harris that a recommendation be submitted to Council that the assumption
rate of 8.0% be reduced to 7.5% in the FY?04 budget; the vote was unanimous.
It was also recommended by Mr. Harris that the board be represented at the May
budget meeting of Council to present this recommendation and/or to answer any
questions that Council may have regarding these changes.
Asset Allocation ? Ms. Love stated that the next issue up for discussion was
the allocation of the assets. A handout from Mr. Swift was passed out to the
attendees regarding the withdrawals that the City needs to make to pay benefits
as well as moving that allocation up towards 55%. In order to bring the equity
managers back in line with the Investment Policy Statement the board needs to
move approximately 7.9 million dollars from fixed to equity.
In addition, the Finance Department is going to require $1.7 million between
now and June 30, 2003 to pay retiree benefits. Consequently, as the above
changes are made, the withdrawal of the funds required by the Finance
Department will also be necessary. The recommendation by Mr. Swift is as
follows:
The shift from fixed income to equity take place over the next four months
beginning in January and that each shift would take place on or about the 15th
of each month. In the months of January, February and March $500,000 split
equally among all managers would be moved to the Finance Department. Then in
April the balance of $200,000 would be moved to complete the $1,700,000 needed
by the Finance Department to pay benefits. Each month 25% of the total needed
to bring the equity up to 55% would then be moved from the fixed income
managers to the equity managers. This amount would vary depending on the
market value at the time of the transactions.
Mr. Harris made the motion to accept the proposal as described by Mr. Swift for
readjustment to 55/45% equity/fixed income. Mr. Gray seconded the motion. The
vote was unanimous
NEW BUSINESS: None
Mr. Harris asked Ms. Love if she would give just a two-minute summary of status
of the actuary?s proposals regarding possible substitute benefits plans.
Ms. Love stated that Mercer has been asked to run the actuarial numbers just as
they normally do with the report and incorporated into those numbers all the
options that were presented back at the meetings where many of the employees
attended. That would be moving from a 2% accrual to 1.5%, 30 years and out
plan, increasing the deferred compensation to include a match and doing
financial models on all of this based on the actual demographics of the
population, and that is in the works.
With no further business for discussion, the meeting was adjourned. The next
meeting will be February 5, 2003 at 2:00 p.m. and will be held in the Mayor=s
Conference Room.
_______________________
Julia A. Rasch,
Recording Secretary